Monday, August 25, 2008

Feliz Navidad!

Fresh off the disabled list, Pedro Feliz provided the Phillies with two huge gifts last night. First, it was a two-out base hit to drive in the tying run in the bottom of the ninth. Then he followed it up with a dramatic 11th inning, two-out, walk-off three-run homer to give the Phillies a dramatic 5-2 win over the Dodgers, cutting the Mets NL East lead to a half game. Gracias, Pedro!

Meanwhile, the Mets bullpen blew another game and John Maine is facing possible season ending surgery. Former Yankees manager Bob Lemon once said, "The two most important things in life are good friends and a strong bullpen." What a genius. The Mets might have a near double digit division lead if their bullpen wasn't in shambles and the Phillies bullpen wasn't dominant.

Tonight, the Fightin's go for a four-game sweep of the Dodgers, who took four from the Phils in Los Angeles just last week. On the mound will be Philly's hottest starting pitcher, born again Brett Myers, who has renewed the faith of fans, teammates and management with a sub-2.00 ERA since returning from minor league exile.

This sets up a much anticipated two-game showdown with the Mets at Citizens Bank Park. With Billy Wagner gone and John Maine likely to follow, the Mets just don't have the depth to overcome these injuries. As the Mets nosedive, I expect the Phillies to use this mini-series as a springboard to the division title, but the offense will have to start clicking (that means you, Rollins) or it will come down to the wire again.

Monday, August 4, 2008

Phils In Phirst To Stay

A lot of pundits have criticized Phillies GM Pat Gillick for not making another deal at the deadline. Not me. Giving up a prime prospect for a situational lefty reliever would have been a mistake. The price for two months of Manny being Manny would have been too high, especially with the season Pat Burrell is having. Call me crazy, but I like how the Phillies are set up for the stretch run and beyond.

Cole Hamels is a top tier ace. While it’s too soon to say Brett Myers is “back”, his fastball is back in the 92-mph range, he has only allowed one home run in three starts and his control has improved. His head seems to be screwed on tight at the moment, but it doesn’t take much to knock the screw loose. The success of Myers is still the key to a deep playoff run.

Behind Hamels and Myers, you have the lone trade acquisition, Joe Blanton. While Blanton isn’t Sabathia or Harden, he's fresh from not pitching much at all in July and will help to keep the bullpen strong by throwing seven solid innings per start. You have the ageless Jamie Moyer, who has been remarkably consistent. And you have Kyle Kendrick, who probably wasn’t quite ready to be a number three starter at this stage of his career and is better suited to the lower pressure role of number five.

This rotation won’t clinch a World Series appearance, but it will keep the Phillies in the game on a daily basis so the offense can do its job while the bullpen continues to shut the door. Chase Utley is hitting the ball hard again. Ryan Howard’s batting average has risen to a nearly respectable .242 as he continues to hit when it counts. Shane Victorino’s hot July has carried over into August. Pat Burrell is having arguably his most consistent season as a pro. Jimmy Rollins said recently that he’s just starting to feel 100% healthy, which could be a sign of even better things.

When you consider that the Marlins’ only addition was Arthur Rhodes and the Mets didn’t do a darn thing, the N.L. East is Philadelphia’s to lose. This week’s Phillies-Marlins series could set the tone for the stretch run. Now that the Marlins have some of their young starters healthy to go along with a powerful offense, Florida is more of a threat than the Mets, who have proven to be even older and more brittle than I thought. If Mets fans are counting on Ryan Church to ride in on a white horse and Fernando Tatis to continue swatting late inning home runs to rescue Billy Wagner after a few more blown saves, I feel bad for them.

In acquiring Joe Blanton, I think the Phillies gave up a future star in second basemen Adrian Cardenas, who would never see the big leagues as a Phil. But the Phillies were smart to hold on to their solid young arms, even if they’re not in the phenom category. Carlos Carrasco. J.A. Happ. Joe Savery. Kyle Drabek, who recently returned from Tommy John surgery. Not a bad quartet right there. Barring a trade, Hamels, Myers, Blanton and Kendrick are locks for the 2009 rotation, under 30 and under contract. How many other teams can say that?

Getting back to the present… it may be a tough pill for Mets fans to swallow, but the Phillies are the most complete, durable team in an admittedly flawed division. The Phillies have climbed back to the top of the N.L. East and it would probably take underachieving of Mets-like proportions for the Fightins to lose it down the stretch.